Research

Fibonacci
07
Nov

[VIDEO] An Intro to Fibonacci and Technical Analysis: 5-part Series

In this concise (less than 15 minutes total) 5-part video series, I provide a very brief overview of the subject matter, introduce the basics of applying Fibonacci ratios in technical analysis, and offer my opinions on why I think it works. I hope you find the videos informative.
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24
Oct

$GC Gold Looking Break Out of Bull Flag

The run-up in gold this morning has price action testing the downtrend line from the September high for the fourth time. Gold has been forming a bull flag for the past eight weeks, and $1505 also coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the September high to the October low.
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17
Oct

Now Available: Fibonacci Webinar

If you missed the free Fibonacci Webinar last Sunday, October 13th, 2019 with my friends at Trendspider, a link to the recording is here.
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12
Oct

Free Fibonacci Webinar: Sunday, October 13th, 6pm EST

Anyone interested in learning more about applying Fibonacci levels in technical trading, please join me this Sunday, October 13th, 2019 at 6pm EST for a webinar with my friends at Trendspider. A link to the webinar is here.
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11
Oct

$TLT Retesting Breakout and Trend Line

The breakout from the secondary high occurred in August and failed to close above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. It has since had an A-B-C correction and is retesting the break of that secondary high, which also coincides with rising channel support. The move from here will dictate the direction for the next few weeks/month.
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Oil-gold ratio
10
Sep

Oil/Gold Ratio At Key Support

The fear throughout the summer has been that a frothy equity market (up double digits YTD), a Federal Reserve that has been reluctant to aggressively lower rates, trade wars with China and other countries, an inverted yield curve, and the cusp of a Presidential election would all serve to dampen the economic outlook and give...
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gold ands bonds
29
Aug

Gold and Bonds Highly Correlated

Since 2015, the gold market and bond market (I use the $TLT 20-Year Bond ETF as a proxy for bond market performance) has been highly correlated. Both asset classes are viewed as a risk-off flight to safety. While past performance does not predict future performance, it is worth noting that many are viewing the bond...
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Gold Chart
22
Aug

Expecting a Pullback in Gold

Gold has been on an epic run since early May, breaking out of a six-year base and launching almost $300 per ounce in the span of three months. Momentum favors the bulls, and the technicals look very strong over the long term. The backdrop of lower global yields and potential monetary stimulus are key fundamental...
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TLT-HYG Ratio
20
Aug

$TLT/$HYG Ratio Poised for All-time Highs?

One of my favorite charts is the ratio of the 20-Year Bond ETF, $TLT, to the High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, $HYG. The chart communicates investor risk appetite between low risk, lower yielding US bonds and high risk, higher yielding corporate bonds.
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Steel
25
Jul

$HRC Steel Continues Downward Trajectory

The chart of steel (US Midwest Domestic Hot-rolled Coil Steel) is one of the cleaner technical charts in my queue . . . and it is a disaster zone. I’m looking at the front month weekly chart as a proxy for steel prices. Some key features of the chart:
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