Research

US Real Estate Prices
30
Nov

Is Real Estate Getting Cheaper?

In the chart above, I analyze mortgage payments as a function of interest rates and loan size. Much has been written about the increases in home price over the past two decades, as the average home in America has nearly doubled (+88%) from $165,000 to $311,000 (orange line).
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Long term S&P 500
30
Nov

S&P500 to 4500+?

The month of November was a significant expression of bullishness in the markets, as the S&P500 knifed through the 261.8% Fibonacci extension with a strong monthly candle close to new all-time highs. Taking a longer term view, the technical tailwind appears to be supporting a run to 4500+ to the 461.8% extension – nearly 50%...
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Golden Spiral
23
Nov

Happy Fibonacci Day! 11/23

Today, November 23rd (11/23), is international Fibonacci Day. It is a day to recognize the beauty and wonder of mathematics in nature, biology, art, music, trading, and many other aspects of our lives. The world is filled with incredible complexity and order, and it governed by the rules of math. The fibonacci sequence, the golden...
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Bitcoin Chart
20
Nov

[VIDEO] Bitcoin Price – This is the Only Chart that Matters

In this video, I analyze the Bitcoin chart. Opinions on bitcoin tend to be very polarized. In this video I try to take a balanced view and simply look at the long term chart and where price is trending. I overlay this chart with Fibonacci and Elliott Wave analysis to arrive at the conclusion that...
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S&P500
18
Nov

[VIDEO] S&P500 Chart Update, Nov 19, 2019

In this video, I analyze the S&P500 chart, which is now meeting up with 20-year long term resistance and the upper bound of its year long channel, but is also breaking out above the 261.8% Fibonacci extension from the 2007 peak to the 2009 bottom in equities.
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Gold Price Chart
15
Nov

[VIDEO] Gold Price Update, Nov 15, 2019

Picking up from last week's video, I wanted to do a deep dive into gold, particularly because there is a diversity of opinions regarding whether we break down from here or we make another leg higher. In this video, I address a recent chart from JC Parets at All Star Charts and my opinion regarding...
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09
Nov

[VIDEO] Precious Metals Price Update, Nov 08, 2019

In this week's video I take a look at the charts of gold, silver, platinum, palladium, and copper and offer some thoughts on where I see prices moving next. As always, whether you agree or disagree, I would love to hear your feedback.
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Fibonacci
07
Nov

[VIDEO] An Intro to Fibonacci and Technical Analysis: 5-part Series

In this concise (less than 15 minutes total) 5-part video series, I provide a very brief overview of the subject matter, introduce the basics of applying Fibonacci ratios in technical analysis, and offer my opinions on why I think it works. I hope you find the videos informative.
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24
Oct

$GC Gold Looking Break Out of Bull Flag

The run-up in gold this morning has price action testing the downtrend line from the September high for the fourth time. Gold has been forming a bull flag for the past eight weeks, and $1505 also coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the September high to the October low.
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17
Oct

Now Available: Fibonacci Webinar

If you missed the free Fibonacci Webinar last Sunday, October 13th, 2019 with my friends at Trendspider, a link to the recording is here.
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