Research

Silver Price Chart
29
Jan

[VIDEO] Silver Update – Silver Testing Rising Channel Support – Jan 28, 2020

In this video I take a look at the prevailing long and short term trends in the price of silver. While the decade-long trend remains down, the one year trend remains up.
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27
Jan

[VIDEO] Market Update – Dr. Copper Looking Very Sick – Jan 27, 2020

In early January I got very bullish copper as price was breaking out of a multi-year symmetrical triangle. The trade worked well initially, but price subsequently reversed and fell precipitously. In this video, I take a look at this price action, explain how I build a chart, and what the copper price means for the...
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USD Jan 2020
08
Jan

[VIDEO] Market Update – Gold, Oil, Equities, Bonds, and USD – Jan 08, 2020

I made a brief video this evening to quickly run through some key charts I'm following and where I see the big picture trends.
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Gold Chart
03
Jan

Strong Move for Metals to Open 2020

Happy New Year! We are kicking off the New Year with stocks at all-time highs, oil prices spiking on Middle East tensions, and the precious metals complex following through nicely for our November/December videos. If you haven’t had a chance to watch those videos, they offer a helpful background on the technical setup for metals...
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DXY-Short Term
14
Dec

$DXY Dollar Coiling Up For a Move

The US dollar has frustrated bulls and bears for the past several years, as it has traded inside a historically narrow range without a clear long term directional bias. However, in both the near term and long term charts, it would appear a larger, secular move is coming.
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Alternate Ratio
10
Dec

S&P500 to Gold Ratio at Important Level

In advance of tomorrow’s Fed meeting and decision on interest rates, I am closely monitoring the S&P500 priced in gold. The S&P500 has broken out to all-time highs and has successfully retested the breakout, while gold has retreated ~$100 from its highs in August, either setting up a washout to a new near term bottom...
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Gold Chart
03
Dec

[VIDEO] Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Price Update

In the video below, I cover price action in some key mining stocks as well as the gold:silver ratio and the S&P:gold ratio. If gold is going to make another push to $1560-$1580, we want to see miners lead the way. Thus far, they are showing strength, which is a positive sign for bulls.
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US Real Estate Prices
30
Nov

Is Real Estate Getting Cheaper?

In the chart above, I analyze mortgage payments as a function of interest rates and loan size. Much has been written about the increases in home price over the past two decades, as the average home in America has nearly doubled (+88%) from $165,000 to $311,000 (orange line).
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Long term S&P 500
30
Nov

S&P500 to 4500+?

The month of November was a significant expression of bullishness in the markets, as the S&P500 knifed through the 261.8% Fibonacci extension with a strong monthly candle close to new all-time highs. Taking a longer term view, the technical tailwind appears to be supporting a run to 4500+ to the 461.8% extension – nearly 50%...
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Golden Spiral
23
Nov

Happy Fibonacci Day! 11/23

Today, November 23rd (11/23), is international Fibonacci Day. It is a day to recognize the beauty and wonder of mathematics in nature, biology, art, music, trading, and many other aspects of our lives. The world is filled with incredible complexity and order, and it governed by the rules of math. The fibonacci sequence, the golden...
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