In a stark reversal from the collapse of nearly every market just six months ago, the winds of inflation have pushed the sails of those same markets back to new (or near) all-time highs.Read More
The last two weeks have been extremely volatile in the markets, and for the first time in a long time my friends and family have called to inquire about “what is going on in the markets?”Read More
In this video, I review key technicals in the US housing market, specifically the real estate ETF REZ, home construction ETF ITB, mortgage rates and lumber.Read More
Anyone interested in learning more about applying Fibonacci levels in technical trading, please join me this Sunday, October 13th, 2019 at 6pm EST for a webinar with my friends at Trendspider. A link to the webinar is here.Read More
The breakout from the secondary high occurred in August and failed to close above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. It has since had an A-B-C correction and is retesting the break of that secondary high, which also coincides with rising channel support. The move from here will dictate the direction for the next few weeks/month.Read More
Since 2015, the gold market and bond market (I use the $TLT 20-Year Bond ETF as a proxy for bond market performance) has been highly correlated. Both asset classes are viewed as a risk-off flight to safety. While past performance does not predict future performance, it is worth noting that many are viewing the bond...Read More
One of my favorite charts is the ratio of the 20-Year Bond ETF, $TLT, to the High Yield Corporate Bond ETF, $HYG. The chart communicates investor risk appetite between low risk, lower yielding US bonds and high risk, higher yielding corporate bonds.Read More
The primary, long term trend in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) remains up. Channel support held at the December lows and has since rebounded strongly on expectations for lower rates (Fed Funds Futures are pricing in an 80% probability of a rate cuts by December 2019). This is bullish for bond prices.Read More
