Fixed Income


A Look at the $TLT Chart

The primary, long term trend in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) remains up. Channel support held at the December lows and has since rebounded strongly on expectations for lower rates (Fed Funds Futures are pricing in an 80% probability of a rate cuts by December 2019). This is bullish for bond prices.
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Chart of the Week: $TLT / $HYG Ratio Breaking Out

I like to chart the ratio of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) vs. iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG). Generally speaking, when the ratio is declining (HYG outperforming TLT), then sentiment is risk on, as investors seek risk for greater return. When the ratio is ascending (TLT outperforming HYG), then sentiment...
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$CBRE Testing Support of All-Time Highs; Headed to $56?

The Real Estate Sector is flush with stocks either breaking out to new all-time highs or pushing to get there. I'm taking a closer look here at $CBRE, a commercial real estate services and investment firm. The stock has rallied hard after a double bottom in October and December of last year, broken out to...
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Mortgage Rates

30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgages Testing Key Support

If you're in the market to purchase a home, what happens here with mortgage rates, which broke out late last year from a 30-year downtrend, might impact the timing of your purchase. Rates have been falling since the December Fed rate hike, but if support of the falling trend line holds, this would would signal...
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TLT 20-yr Bond ETF Setting Up Bullishly

The TLT 20-year Bond ETF chart looks very constructive here. The October low is shaping up to be the head of an inverse head and shoulders pattern and a test of a wide, upward sloping channel. The chart has been consistently honoring the Fibonacci support and resistance levels from the June 2017 high to the...
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